Monitoring of Infections of Special Danger (by the Example of Plague)
Sokolova S.P., Kuzmina E.A., Abdullina V.Z.
Saint Petersburg Institute for Informatics and Automation of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Saint Petersburg, 199178, Russia
Institute for Problems in Informatics and Management of the Ministry of Education and Science, Almaty, 480100, the Republic of Kazakhstan
Abstract. An intelligent system of monitoring of infections of special danger (by the example of plague) is proposed. An interval analogue for immunocomputing approach and interval initial data, which characterize a state of the plague triad (vehicle - transmitter - plague germ), were used in the monitoring. Examples of prognostication of epizootic processes in a landscape-ecological region (the Akdala plain) of the Pribalkhashsky natural focus of plague are given.
Key words: plague triad, epizootic process, immunocomputing approach, plague risk index.